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	<title>Andrew Lisy's Blog &#187; economics</title>
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	<link>http://blog.ajlisy.com</link>
	<description>Linux, finance, rants, politics</description>
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		<title>Management is Engineering</title>
		<link>http://blog.ajlisy.com/2009/09/management-is-engineering/</link>
		<comments>http://blog.ajlisy.com/2009/09/management-is-engineering/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 11 Sep 2009 03:07:38 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>aj</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[economics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[entrepreneurial]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[jobs]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[management]]></category>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blog.ajlisy.com/?p=329</guid>
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			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>As legend has it, the humanities program at MIT was started by an MIT president who quipped &#8220;too many MIT graduates end up working for Harvard and Yale graduates&#8221;. The thinking then, which remains to this day, is<br />
<img src="http://blog.ajlisy.com/wp-content/uploads/2009/09/mgmt-300x225.jpg" alt="Management clip art!" title="mgmt" width="250" height="148" align="left" />that engineering classes make a person narrowly focused whereas humanities classes help a student to see the full picture. Although I can see some truth in this, I would argue that a person is far better equipped to be a great manager having taken engineering than its &#8220;softer&#8221; alternatives.<br />
<span id="more-329"></span><br />
What does engineering have to do with management? <em>Systems</em>. If I were to describe any sort of engineering &#8212; chemical, electrical, financial, whatever &#8212; in one word, it&#8217;s about systems. A system is a collection of unreliable components arranged together in just the right way such to create a stable, predictable, reliable outcome. Proteins assembled in a drug, transistors arranged on a chip, mortgages bundled in a CDO (well, maybe a bad example&#8230;) &#8212; all of these are relatively unstable parts with little use by themselves that become predicable and useful because of their alignment with other parts.</p>
<p>So how is management engineering? A business, by nature, is a system. The parts are the inputs &#8212; employees, inventory, capital &#8212; and profit is the (hopefully steady) output. It&#8217;s popular for business managers these days to say that &#8220;the value of our business is our employees&#8221;, and that is certainly true, but the human nature of an employee means that they are inherently unreliable. Plans change, new jobs come along, retirement beckons &#8212; all of these things mean that the human element of the system needs to be designed to be fault-tolerant. An engineer understands this concept, and has a natural insight into ways of building efficiency and redundancy into the organization. A more streamlined process that reduces needless overlap while maintaining critical redundancies will maximize profit and ensure business continuity.</p>
<p>The sweet spot in management is a manager who can balance the vital &#8220;soft&#8221; aspects of motivation with the organizational awareness that an engineering background can provide. Either trait by itself can do an adequate job, but the combination creates a truly capable and effective motivator and manager.</p>
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		<title>Micropayments are the answer</title>
		<link>http://blog.ajlisy.com/2009/08/micropayments-are-the-answer/</link>
		<comments>http://blog.ajlisy.com/2009/08/micropayments-are-the-answer/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 04 Aug 2009 02:58:36 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>aj</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[economics]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[micropayments]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blog.ajlisy.com/?p=325</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[The New York Times today has an article about how YouTube is transforming the nightly news. As more high-quality, user-generated content is uploaded to YouTube by professional news networks, semi-professional hobbyists and amateur aspiring Ron Burgundys, the potential for customized, localized news delivered directly to your computer whenever you want it becomes a reality. Google, [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>The <a href="http://www.nyt.com">New York Times</a> today has an <a href="http://www.nytimes.com/2009/08/03/business/media/03youtube.html">article</a> about how <a href="http://www.youtube.com">YouTube</a> is transforming the nightly news. As more high-quality, user-generated content is uploaded to YouTube by professional news networks, semi-professional hobbyists and amateur aspiring Ron Burgundys, the potential for customized, localized news delivered directly to your computer whenever you want it becomes a reality. Google, which owns YouTube, has already built out Google News to deliver fresh and personalized news that they&#8217;ve harvested from news sites around the web, and YouTube video news is a logical next step.</p>
<p>No doubt, this is great. However, with smaller city newspapers failing across the country and even the venerable <em>Times</em> in trouble, the long-term sustainability of content providers is a serious question. Right now, Google News and YouTube news videos are fueled largely by professional journalism companies that make their money selling advertisements in print and video media. However, as Google steps in and uses the content without providing an adequate revenue stream back to the content creators, the prospects for professional journalism look dim.<br />
<span id="more-325"></span><br />
Clearly journalism as a money-making endeavor will not go away. What will happen, on the other hand, is that news outlets will find ways to capitalize on what is actually an amazing opportunity to reach a huge audience with dramatically lower costs. As an example, I&#8217;ve never paid a dime for a newspaper, yet after getting an Amazon Kindle2 about 2 months ago, I now pay for subscriptions to two newspapers. The key for me was convenience and quality &#8212; the ability to have a full news source on my Kindle every morning on the train was well worth the $10-$15/month I pay for my subscription. <em>A content delivery device that didn&#8217;t exist 2 years ago is what it took to get a 24-year-old guy to start paying for the paper.</em></p>
<p>What about the web? How can providers continue to afford to let Google assemble their content into dynamic newspapers and give it away free? The solution is micropayments. Want to read an article on Google Reader? Why not charge a nickel (or a penny!), the bulk of which goes directly back to the content provider? Of course, a few cents doesn&#8217;t sound like much, but obviously the key is making it on millions of users. Collect a nickel, and watch what happens to the web. The best content providers &#8212; professional and amateur &#8212; will now have a way to make money off of their work directly. News outlets will still exist, but there will also be plenty of semi-professional, independent authors and creators who will churn out material that will be just as good.</p>
<p>Undoubtedly, there are many stumbling blocks to charging people for what they&#8217;ve become accustomed to getting for free. <a href="http://www.predictablyirrational.com/?page_id=5">Dan Ariely</a>, the MIT behavioral economist and author of <a href="http://www.predictablyirrational.com/"><em>Predictably Irrational</em></a> has found that the difference between even 1 cent and free is enormous from a psychological perspective. Things that are free just have a certain allure that even the cheapest alternatives do not. The way to overcome this stumbling block is to disassociate people with the money they&#8217;re actually spending. We could do this by allowing (but not necessarily requiring) people to prepay their nickels every month with their internet bill &#8212; perhaps include $2 worth of content in a &#8220;bank account&#8221; with the monthly internet. Alternatively, Google could pay these nickels for you &#8212; in this case they would simply be a structural mechanism to allow payment to flow back to the originators.</p>
<p>The internet has irreversibly changed traditional content distribution models, but so far, revenue models have largely stayed the same for content providers. The providers that push for and embrace new models will be the ones that generate incredible profits. Micropayments are the solution that will fix the content-revenue link on the web.</p>
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		<title>The Epidemic of Over Air-Conditioning</title>
		<link>http://blog.ajlisy.com/2009/08/the-epidemic-of-over-air-conditioning/</link>
		<comments>http://blog.ajlisy.com/2009/08/the-epidemic-of-over-air-conditioning/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sat, 01 Aug 2009 17:54:58 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>aj</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[environmental]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[miscellaneous]]></category>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blog.ajlisy.com/?p=321</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[I&#8217;ve noticed more and more lately that there seems to be an air-conditioning problem nearly everywhere I go. Businesses for some reason think that their customers want to be kept at a frosty 68 degrees while they shop. Office buildings think that the computers and inhabitants will melt if the temperature leaps beyond the 70 [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I&#8217;ve noticed more and more lately that there seems to be an air-conditioning problem nearly everywhere I go. Businesses for some reason think that their customers want to be kept at a frosty 68 degrees while they shop. Office buildings think that the computers and inhabitants will melt if the temperature leaps beyond the 70 mark. At the offices I&#8217;ve worked at, it&#8217;s typically so cold that people bring sweaters or fleeces to wear during the day! </p>
<p>The Department of Energy says that HVAC (heating, ventilation and air conditioning)<a href="http://www1.eere.energy.gov/buildings/commercial/hvac.html"> account for 40-60% of the energy use in buildings. </a> Given that it&#8217;s expensive, inefficient, environmentally harmful and just plain uncomfortable, why not just turn the thermostat up a few degrees!</p>
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		<title>Customer Service in the Age of Twitter and Facebook</title>
		<link>http://blog.ajlisy.com/2009/03/customer-service-in-the-age-of-twitter-and-facebook/</link>
		<comments>http://blog.ajlisy.com/2009/03/customer-service-in-the-age-of-twitter-and-facebook/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 26 Mar 2009 04:21:27 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>aj</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[internet media]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[1800flowers]]></category>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blog.ajlisy.com/?p=272</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[I just got off the phone with 1-800-Flowers.com. I had tried to get flowers sent to the hospital yesterday, but they failed to deliver them, so I canceled the order. I called back today to try to re-enter the order with a different address, and finally gave up after speaking to several apathetic employees and [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I just got off the phone with <a href="http://1800flowers.com">1-800-Flowers.com</a>. I had tried to get flowers sent to the hospital yesterday, but they failed to deliver them, so I canceled the order. I called <img src="http://blog.ajlisy.com/wp-content/uploads/2009/03/flower.jpg" alt="flower" width="200" height="200" align="left" style="margin: 8px 8px 8px 8px"/>back today to try to re-enter the order with a different address, and finally gave up after speaking to several apathetic employees and getting left on permanent hold. The pivoting issue was a minor one related to a gift code, but their seeming unwillingness to even attempt to solve my problem ultimately caused me to go elsewhere.<br />
<span id="more-272"></span><br />
I <em>wanted</em> to give them my business. I called back after they messed up (and this was actually my second bad experience with them) and wanted to place the <em>exact</em> order again. After I was left on permahold, I called back one more time, and <em>still</em> would have re-entered the order if for no other reason than I didn&#8217;t want to have to find another flower shop and go through the process again. But each time, they failed to even act like they wanted to keep my business, much less encourage me to continue to use them for flower service.</p>
<p>Five years ago, a bad experience like this would have meant that the company lost a few customers at most &#8212; maybe me and a few of my friends. But in the age of Facebook and Twitter, where people are microblogging about everything, a few bad experiences can quickly find an enormous audience. All it takes is a reader to see one or two tweets relating a hiccup with a company for that reader to avoid the company in the future. The margin of error for bad customer service is getting far smaller, since it takes far fewer missteps to destroy a reputation than it used to.</p>
<p>Customer service has always been important, but now days, its make-or-break for a company. When I Google for &#8216;flowers&#8217;, 11 sponsored links show up. The services themselves all basically do the same thing &#8212; the call one of a few local florists and have them deliver an arrangement purchased online. Since I imagine conversion for keyword clicks for &#8216;flowers&#8217; on Google are pretty high, I bet that they pay $5 or more per click for traffic through search engine ads. Given that the cost of acquiring a customer is very high, a company in this type of business must do everything it can to make sure that it <em>keeps the customers it has</em>, since part of the rationale behind a high initial acquisition cost is that customers on average will do business repeatedly. But if a company doesn&#8217;t invest the [comparatively far smaller] money in customer service needed to keep existing customers, they will find that they can no longer afford to pay the huge acquisition costs because they simply aren&#8217;t capturing enough profit per customer over the entire lifecycle to justify the expense. Since its much easier to keep customers you already have, the competitors that <em>can</em> retain customers will be the ones that win out, hands down. And as the world gets more connected, these companies will have an even easier time rising to the top.</p>
<p><strong><em>Update:</strong> I&#8217;m not all pessimism &#8212; I just had a great customer service experience with Fidelity. <a href="http://twoguysblogging.com/2009/04/fidelity-investments/">Read about it.</a></em></p>
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		<title>Those $0.05 Deposits Work on Cans &#8212; How about Cigarette Butts?</title>
		<link>http://blog.ajlisy.com/2009/02/deposits-work-on-cans-how-about-cigarette-butts/</link>
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		<pubDate>Sat, 28 Feb 2009 22:19:19 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>aj</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[economics]]></category>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blog.ajlisy.com/?p=206</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[In many states, New York included, there is a $0.05 deposit on aluminum cans. The deposit is designed to provide an economic incentive to people so that they recycle their cans instead of just throwing them in the garbage when they&#8217;re finished. The program works beautifully; however, like many such programs, the way it works [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>In many states, New York included, there is a $0.05 deposit on aluminum cans. The deposit is designed to provide an economic incentive to people so that they recycle their cans instead of just throwing them in the garbage when they&#8217;re finished. The program works beautifully; however, like many such programs, the way it works isn&#8217;t necessarily the way you&#8217;d immediately picture such a system to function. People that buy the cans and pay the extra $0.05 are rarely the people that end up collecting the nickel when they&#8217;re done with it &#8212; for them, the deposit is just an added tax on cans that they are still going to throw away. Instead, the people that benefit are those who are able to collect cans out of the garbage and off the street and then turn them in for the deposit. The economic incentive turns an otherwise difficult task &#8212; collecting and sorting a city&#8217;s worth of cans from the garbage &#8212; into a task done readily by people that otherwise may have few other work alternatives.<br />
<span id="more-206"></span><br />
As I walked around Manhattan yesterday, I was thinking about what other areas a well-devised deposit program could improve. When I passed a group of cigarette smokers, an idea came to me &#8212; how about a 1 or 2 cent deposit on each cigarette that could be reclaimed when a smoker (or anyone) turned in the cigarette butt? The streets of New York, and just about any other city for that matter, are littered with the filters of hundreds of cigarettes. The beautiful beaches in Miami are marred by the half-smoked remains of hundred of cigarettes. What if we gave an economic incentive to people to collect this ugly trash and turn it in?</p>
<p>Cities like New York currently have ineffective systems in place to clean litter, which consists mainly of spent cigarettes. The way it works now is that workers walk along the sidewalks with brooms and dustpans and sweep stray bits of trash into the dustpans. It works to some degree, but there is no incentive for the worker to make sure to get every single item. By instituting the deposit system of cigarettes, cities would reduce the need for these workers, and replace them by an army of &#8220;freelancers&#8221;. Within a week, the streets and gutters could be free of all remnants of cigarettes.</p>
<p>I can foresee a few criticisms of this plan. <em>It&#8217;s unsanitary and could spread disease</em>. While questionably true, I would argue that a homeless person who collects 200 cigarette butts and then buys a sandwich at a deli is going to be far healthier than one who eats a sandwich or other food from the trash. <em>Cigarettes already have enough taxes added on to them</em>. While I am not in favor of taxing, part of the deposit could be offset by the reduced cleaning costs to the city. The other portion could be written into part of an environmental-type budget. <em>It&#8217;s difficult to accurately count the cigarette butts.</em> While there is no machine that currently exists to count them, I guarantee that such a system could quickly be built given some economic incentive. I picture basically a two-stage device &#8212; the first stage would be a rough filter that would allow items the size of cigarette butts though, and the second stage some sort of device that measures the volume of material.</p>
<p>What are we waiting for? Enacting this simple solution will reduce litter, give basic jobs to hundreds of people, and provide a (admittedly small, but still existent) boost to the economies of cities.</p>
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