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	<title>Andrew Lisy's Blog &#187; entrepreneurial</title>
	<atom:link href="http://blog.ajlisy.com/category/entrepreneurial/feed/" rel="self" type="application/rss+xml" />
	<link>http://blog.ajlisy.com</link>
	<description>Linux, finance, rants, politics</description>
	<lastBuildDate>Mon, 17 May 2010 23:17:37 +0000</lastBuildDate>
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		<title>Find Your Torchbearers</title>
		<link>http://blog.ajlisy.com/2010/05/find-your-torchbearers/</link>
		<comments>http://blog.ajlisy.com/2010/05/find-your-torchbearers/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 17 May 2010 23:17:37 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>aj</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[entrepreneurial]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[marketing]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[careers]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[jobs]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[management]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blog.ajlisy.com/?p=389</guid>
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			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>When an organization is still in the small, startup phase, it&#8217;s not hard to have employees that each feel like they have a stake in the company and are willing to rally behind it. As the company grows, however, subsequent employees get distanced from management and from company success, so it is easier for them to treat the job less like their own undertaking, and more like a paycheck. Too many employees treating their work as just a job will end up affecting company culture and ultimately, product. Identifying and rewarding torchbearers helps to ensure that the cultural message is effectively conveyed and carried out at all ranks.<br />
<span id="more-389"></span><br />
I witnessed a prime example of this last weekend when I was, of all places, in a bar. Not just any bar, this was a &#8220;trendy&#8221; place that specialized in exotic drinks crafted by &#8220;mixologists&#8221;. We sat down at the counter, and began conversing with the mixologist, who was extremely knowledgeable about the menu and obviously took much pride in his craft. When I didn&#8217;t like the first drink I ordered, he offered to &#8220;surprise me&#8221; with the next one, and made me one of the most interesting concoctions I&#8217;ve ever had. Needless to say, we were sorry to see him go when his shift ended and he was replaced by a listless bartender who barely spoke a word.</p>
<p>The first mixologist, Steven, was a torchbearer. The interactions with him defined the experience for us, the customers. It&#8217;s easy to imagine that his enthusiasm for the job rubs off on many of his coworkers (with the possible exception of the bartender that replaced him), and elevates the quality of the entire establishment. Employees like him are by far the most valuable, and must be retained even at high[er] cost. The idea of paying every worker the same is fine if you consider your employees to be commodities, but for a truly differentiated business, this shouldn&#8217;t be the case.</p>
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		<title>Create, Don&#8217;t Destroy</title>
		<link>http://blog.ajlisy.com/2010/04/create-dont-destroy/</link>
		<comments>http://blog.ajlisy.com/2010/04/create-dont-destroy/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 28 Apr 2010 00:33:39 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>aj</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[entrepreneurial]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[miscellaneous]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[jobs]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[management]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[philosophy]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blog.ajlisy.com/?p=380</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Jotted down in a file I keep called &#8220;life rules&#8221;, I have a simple phrase. Create, don&#8217;t destroy. It sounds trite, and perhaps it is. But I firmly believe that the most successful people in the world follow this principle every day, whether or not they have specifically written it anywhere. While it may not [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Jotted down in a file I keep called &#8220;life rules&#8221;, I have a simple phrase. <em>Create, don&#8217;t destroy</em>. It sounds trite, and perhaps it is. But I firmly believe that the most successful people in the world follow this principle every day, whether or not they have specifically written it anywhere. While it may not make you rich and famous, if you spend your time creating instead of destroying, it will undoubtedly make your life far better.</p>
<p>What does it mean, &#8220;create, don&#8217;t destroy&#8221;? There are countless opportunities every day where we make decisions to add to or subtract from something. Projects at work started by an adversary that you&#8217;d rather see fail, cynical observations that don&#8217;t have any constructive benefit, favors that you could easily do for someone, but choose not to &#8212; these are all chances that we have to build on something, but instead choose to detract from it. There are all sorts of underlying roots &#8212; jealousy, political gain, personal grudges &#8212; but in each case the effort in the task is designed to undermine.</p>
<p>Instead, spend your time improving anything and everything you can. Even if you secretly want a project to fail, put that aside and contribute earnestly. It might feel good or be easy to criticize or be cynical, and often it is. Far more difficult is actually helping out and building. You&#8217;ll find, however, that those that build are far better rewarded and end up far happier than those that destroy. Creation itself is an additive process &#8212; the more you create, the more you&#8217;ll be able to create. Why waste effort in making something fail when you could have a hand in making it succeed?</p>
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		<title>Build a Culture of Ideas</title>
		<link>http://blog.ajlisy.com/2009/10/build-a-culture-of-ideas/</link>
		<comments>http://blog.ajlisy.com/2009/10/build-a-culture-of-ideas/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sun, 18 Oct 2009 04:21:03 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>aj</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[economics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[entrepreneurial]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[marketing]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[wall street]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[management]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blog.ajlisy.com/?p=337</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[The most successful companies are the ones that work every day toward building what I call a &#8220;culture of ideas&#8221;. Google is the prime example of this &#8212; if you work at Google, you&#8217;re encouraged to spend 20% of your work time on ideas that interest you. Think about this &#8212; Google &#8220;loses&#8221; one day [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>The most successful companies are the ones that work every day toward building what I call a &#8220;culture of ideas&#8221;. Google is the prime example of this &#8212; if you work at Google, you&#8217;re encouraged to spend 20% of your work time on ideas that interest you. Think about this &#8212; Google &#8220;loses&#8221; one day a week of productivity from their workers while they pursue projects that they find interesting!</p>
<p>Dig a little deeper, however, and you&#8217;ll find that it is anything <em>but</em> losing for Google. In fact,<br />
<span id="more-337"></span></p>
<blockquote><p>In a talk at Stanford University, Marissa Mayer, Google&#8217;s Vice President of Search Products and User Experience, stated that her analysis showed that 50% of the new product launches originated from the 20% time. [wikipedia]</p></blockquote>
<p>Some of their best products, such as Gmail and Adsense, originated from this revolutionary policy!</p>
<p>So what does an ordinary company get out of encouraging employees to dream up ways to do things better? Perhaps a day a week is a bit much for most enterprises, but this sort of out-of-the-box thinking can do wonders to spur new innovation or improve operations at any company. Traditionally, change follows a top-down approach: managers devise a new product, process or protocol and the employees implement the change according to instructions they receive. The communication is often one-way so feedback doesn&#8217;t effectively flow. The result is few sources of innovation and an inefficient system for improvement.</p>
<p>A better way is to &#8220;design&#8221; all aspects of the company culture so that any employee can have an input on key aspects of the company. Simply telling workers that &#8220;the boss&#8217;s door is always open&#8221; is insufficient, since it still requires a person to put themselves on the line. Mechanisms like encouraging employees to pursue their own ideas, setting up constant feedback and suggestion sessions (online is particularly good, since people may tend to be more honest), idea contests and frequent communication from management work far better and allow employees to feel that managers are listening and valuing their contributions.</p>
<p>Putting power in the hands of employees to suggest and improve their daily routines has several advantages. It allows the people who know the processes and systems the best to have a hand in improving them, instead of relying on higher-ups who may not be as well versed in the day-to-day. Furthermore, it makes employees feel like they have a chance to stand out in their company and contribute more than a 9-5 workday. The entrenched culture of many companies that exist today makes it difficult to establish such a culture, but the ones who do will find themselves amply rewarded.</p>
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		<title>Management is Engineering</title>
		<link>http://blog.ajlisy.com/2009/09/management-is-engineering/</link>
		<comments>http://blog.ajlisy.com/2009/09/management-is-engineering/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 11 Sep 2009 03:07:38 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>aj</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[economics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[entrepreneurial]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[jobs]]></category>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blog.ajlisy.com/?p=329</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[As legend has it, the humanities program at MIT was started by an MIT president who quipped &#8220;too many MIT graduates end up working for Harvard and Yale graduates&#8221;. The thinking then, which remains to this day, is
that engineering classes make a person narrowly focused whereas humanities classes help a student to see the full [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>As legend has it, the humanities program at MIT was started by an MIT president who quipped &#8220;too many MIT graduates end up working for Harvard and Yale graduates&#8221;. The thinking then, which remains to this day, is<br />
<img src="http://blog.ajlisy.com/wp-content/uploads/2009/09/mgmt-300x225.jpg" alt="Management clip art!" title="mgmt" width="250" height="148" align="left" />that engineering classes make a person narrowly focused whereas humanities classes help a student to see the full picture. Although I can see some truth in this, I would argue that a person is far better equipped to be a great manager having taken engineering than its &#8220;softer&#8221; alternatives.<br />
<span id="more-329"></span><br />
What does engineering have to do with management? <em>Systems</em>. If I were to describe any sort of engineering &#8212; chemical, electrical, financial, whatever &#8212; in one word, it&#8217;s about systems. A system is a collection of unreliable components arranged together in just the right way such to create a stable, predictable, reliable outcome. Proteins assembled in a drug, transistors arranged on a chip, mortgages bundled in a CDO (well, maybe a bad example&#8230;) &#8212; all of these are relatively unstable parts with little use by themselves that become predicable and useful because of their alignment with other parts.</p>
<p>So how is management engineering? A business, by nature, is a system. The parts are the inputs &#8212; employees, inventory, capital &#8212; and profit is the (hopefully steady) output. It&#8217;s popular for business managers these days to say that &#8220;the value of our business is our employees&#8221;, and that is certainly true, but the human nature of an employee means that they are inherently unreliable. Plans change, new jobs come along, retirement beckons &#8212; all of these things mean that the human element of the system needs to be designed to be fault-tolerant. An engineer understands this concept, and has a natural insight into ways of building efficiency and redundancy into the organization. A more streamlined process that reduces needless overlap while maintaining critical redundancies will maximize profit and ensure business continuity.</p>
<p>The sweet spot in management is a manager who can balance the vital &#8220;soft&#8221; aspects of motivation with the organizational awareness that an engineering background can provide. Either trait by itself can do an adequate job, but the combination creates a truly capable and effective motivator and manager.</p>
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		<title>The Power of Platforms</title>
		<link>http://blog.ajlisy.com/2009/04/the-power-of-platforms/</link>
		<comments>http://blog.ajlisy.com/2009/04/the-power-of-platforms/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 06 Apr 2009 07:52:53 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>aj</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[entrepreneurial]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[internet media]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[backup]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[dropbox]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[facebook]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[investing]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[marketing]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[platform]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[storage]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blog.ajlisy.com/?p=291</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Of all the recent trends in online computing, the one most game-changing is the trend toward developing platforms and allowing users to build applications on top of them. The greatest example of a platform on the web is Facebook, which started as a simple social network, but by opening up to third party apps, has [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Of all the recent trends in online computing, the one most game-changing is the trend toward developing platforms and allowing users to build applications on top of them. The greatest example of a platform on the web is <a href="http://www.facebook.com">Facebook</a>, which started as a simple social network, but by opening up to third party apps, has become the most important web development since Google. Platforms allow downstream developers to wield the entire power of the &#8220;parent&#8221; to create interesting and valuable applications without requiring massive resources to lay the groundwork for the basic functionality.</p>
<p>The reason platforms are so important is that they allow developers to use massive technological <em>leverage</em>. To illustrate this point, lets use the example of <a href="http://www.getdropbox.com">Dropbox</a>, an outstanding online backup application. <span id="more-291"></span> Dropbox creates a folder on a user&#8217;s computer where they can drag files, and then stores those files on <a href="http://aws.amazon.com/s3/">Amazon&#8217;s S3</a>. S3 is a network that programmers can easily use to store files on Amazon&#8217;s servers. By simply paying a low fee per-gigabyte of disk space used, developers have access to an unlimited amount of secure, redundant disk space online on top of which they can build their own program. Dropbox is a derivative application built on top of the S3 platform, and utilizes the S3 backend to intelligently sync and back up files on individual PCs. Without S3, Dropbox and others would have to invest enormous resources into creating and maintaining a huge storage datacenter, which would almost certainly be prohibitive for the rapidly-growing startup. However, since they are able to leverage the S3 platform to handle the storage issue, the developers are able to focus on the product instead of the nitty gritty needed to get that product running.</p>
<p>The ability to abstract away the &#8220;nitty gritty&#8221; by using a platform is immensely powerful, because it allows entrepreneurs to build on top of existing technologies instead of reinventing the wheel for each venture. Facebook applications have been incredibly successful because they allow a developer to leverage the <strong>existing</strong> networks people have already built, rather than fighting to get people to sign up for a new website and build a new network. Before Facebook Photos, several sites attempted the tagging functionality that Facebook mastered with virtually no success because there was no way of enrolling every user that might be in someone&#8217;s photo. Since Facebook already has a huge portion of internet users, Photos (and other apps) can simply abstract away the &#8220;building a network&#8221; aspect &#8212; a huge obstacle to building a networking application &#8212; and focus on creating new and interesting functionality.</p>
<p>The other cool aspect that platform creators get &#8220;for free&#8221; is marketing. If a developer creates an application on Facebook, they are likely to spend time and money marketing that application. However, since that app is nothing without Facebook, any marketing that the app developer does is by default marketing for Facebook as well. While its not always this obvious, it&#8217;s always the case that the platform benefits as the child application grows &#8212; as Dropbox gains users, for example, Amazon naturally gets more business without really needing to do any extra marketing. It&#8217;s all done for them, and all owed to their killer platform.</p>
<p>Platforms are an amazing innovation, and we&#8217;ve seen (and will continue to see) some incredible applications arise from them. They lower the barrier to entry for entrepreneurs, so programs that used to require a team of engineers to handle &#8220;support&#8221; aspects of an application now only need one or two core developers. As a result, more products can come into the market quickly, and great ideas can rise to the top even more freely.</p>
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		<title>How to Generate Buzz Through Social Media</title>
		<link>http://blog.ajlisy.com/2009/03/andrews-guide-to-generating-buzz-through-social-media/</link>
		<comments>http://blog.ajlisy.com/2009/03/andrews-guide-to-generating-buzz-through-social-media/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 25 Mar 2009 05:06:35 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>aj</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[entrepreneurial]]></category>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blog.ajlisy.com/?p=248</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Any site on the internet requires visitors to be successful. For social networks, this is even more important, because the quality of the site is defined largely by the quality of user interactions and contributions on that site. About 6 weeks ago, I started up a site, The Free Agents which caters to people between [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Any site on the internet requires visitors to be successful. For social networks, this is even more important, because the quality of the site is defined largely by the quality of user interactions and contributions on that site. About 6 weeks ago, I started up a site, <a href="http://www.freeagentnet.com">The Free Agents</a> which caters to people between jobs. Its a social network where people can share their experiences and meet others in the same situation. </p>
<p>Over the last several weeks, I&#8217;ve been working hard to promote the site.  I have no formal training in marketing, so my efforts have come mainly from trial and error and also from advice from marketing professionals, both through their blogs and from actually speaking with them. There are other guides on the internet about generating buzz for your website, but most of them are long on generalities (&#8220;Know your goals&#8221;) and short on details. This guide is an attempt to nail down some of the strategies that have worked for me, and help others that are getting involved in the social marketing landscape.</p>
<p>Disclaimer: this is a work in progress, so I have inevitable missed some key points or approached some things in an unusual way. I welcome your comments below!<br />
<span id="more-248"></span></p>
<h3>Cover Your Bases With the Social News Sites</h3>
<ol>
<li><strong><a href="http://www.reddit.com">Reddit</a></strong> &#8211; catchy, thought-provoking titles are important. The main site gets a huge number of submissions, so posting to a subreddit (a sub-site devoted to a specific topic, like Business or Linux) might increase your chances of making it to the front page.
<li><strong><a href="http://www.digg.com">Digg</a></strong> &#8211; short titles and good descriptions are important. Be sure to choose accurate categories for your site. You&#8217;ll be best off if you&#8217;ve been using digg for a while and have built up a base of friends, since they&#8217;re more likely to see the story and vote for it.
<li><strong><a href="http://www.stumbleupon.com">StumbleUpon</a></strong> &#8211; tagging your site properly is key, since users see sites based on interests they select.
<li><strong><a href="http://delicious.com/">Del.icio.us</a></strong> &#8211; tagging is very important, since that forms the basis upon which others find your site.
</ol>
<h3>Get the Word Out On Twitter</h3>
<p>It&#8217;s important to create a solid presence for your site on <a href="http://www.twitter.com">Twitter</a>, since it is becoming an increasingly important place for users to share links and thoughts about sites and services. Here are the steps:</p>
<ol>
<li>Create a Twitter identity for your site. For Free Agents, users can follow <strong>@freeagentnet</strong>. </li>
<li>Send out several Tweets relevant to your message to get some good content in your feed so that users have something to see when they first start following you.</li>
<li>Advertise your Twitter name on your site &#8212; a simple &#8220;Follow <strong>@freeagentnet</strong> on Twitter&#8221; will do the trick, and allow users to stay up to date. Also, ask users to add in a hashtag in posts related to the site. For example, if a user Tweets about something unemployment related, they can add <strong>#freeagentnet</strong>. Hashtags are keywords easily indexed by outside agregators, so you can pull all posts related to your site together on a page.</li>
<li>Use <a href="http://search.twitter.com">Twitter search</a> to find users that are talking about topics related to your site. Start following them. This has 2 purposes: first, it keeps you in touch with what people are saying about the area that you&#8217;re in. Secondly, when you follow people, they are likely to follow you if they see that you&#8217;ve been Tweeting about the same types of things, so you get a larger Twitterbase.</li>
<li>Tweet often about <strong>relevant</strong> content, new areas on your site, and other information related to your primary goal.</li>
</ol>
<p><strong>Things to Avoid on Twitter</strong></p>
<ol>
<li><strong>Don&#8217;t send out <em>too many</em> tweets each day.</strong> Aim for 5 or fewer messages every day, with great, compelling content in them. Never use your &#8220;business&#8221; account to send out messages like &#8220;I&#8217;m eating breakfast&#8221;, or followers will quickly drop you.</li>
<li><strong>Don&#8217;t try to follow anyone and everyone.</strong> Follow those that you think you&#8217;ll learn good information from, and read their tweets. If you&#8217;re a follower of the whole world, the information gets diluted</li>
<li><strong>Keep your links informational, and not overly promotional.</strong> Link to relevant content that you post on your site, but limit the number of links to your top level site, since it only takes a few before people start thinking you&#8217;re a spammer.</li>
</ol>
<h3>Create a Facebook Group to Engage Your Friends</h3>
<p>Marketing to your friends is a great way to get the word out, especially if its the kind of product that lends itself well to your own demographic (otherwise, why would you build it?). Creating a <a href="http://www.facebook.com">Facebook</a> group dedicated to your concept and inviting your friends to join is a good way to spread the word on Facebook, since each time someone becomes a member, that information shows up in the feed and others see it.</p>
<p>You can only invite 100 people to a group at a time, so be sure to choose carefully who you add to the invitation. On one hand, you want to pick people close enough to you that will join because you&#8217;re their friend and they want to help you out. If you pick people that you barely know, they are less likely to pay attention to the invitation, which means the invite is &#8220;wasted&#8221; on them. On the other hand, if you choose your 100 best buddies from college, they might all join, but they probably all know each other, and the benefits from your group appearing on the feed are lessened. By choosing some people that you don&#8217;t know as well, you lessen the chance that they will join, but if they do, you will likely access a completely separate social circle and your product will hit a more diverse group of users.</p>
<h3>Add Meaningful, Relevant Comments to Related Blogs and News Articles</h3>
<p>If you run a site devoted to auto repair, you probably are interested in that subject and read related blogs and other sites regularly. If you don&#8217;t, you definitely need to, for several reasons. First of all, its important to keep your finger on the pulse of your topic online. If some bloggers break news about Callahan Auto&#8217;s new Brake Pad Division, its important to see what everyone is saying about it so that articles on your site can respond appropriately. Secondly, commenting on related blogs is a good way to reach readers that are interested in your subject area.</p>
<p>Commenting on blogs, like other methods of social marketing, walks the fine line between spamming and contributing to a service by adding helpful information and a link. If you run a blog, you probably receive hundreds of spam comments per day, and most are filled with gibberish and a few links. These are obvious garbage, and most get filtered out anyways. However, other posts contribute a brief snippet of commentary, and a big fat link to another site. They often say something along the lines of &#8220;great article. check out Zalinsky Auto Parts [url]&#8220;. These comments are also garbage, because they don&#8217;t contribute anything to the discussion, and are obviously there only to promote another site. </p>
<p>A good rule of thumb is if you can&#8217;t contribute something meaningful to the article through your comment, don&#8217;t post one. On the other hand, your site may be a great resource to readers of that article. If that&#8217;s the case, in the comment box, add a unique point of view, and then somewhere in the comment, mention your site. Most blogs moderate their comment posts to avoid spam, so the more you can contribute to the discussion along with your link, the better the chance that the blog author chooses to keep your comment on the page. </p>
<h3>Connect with Popular Bloggers in Your Space</h3>
<p>Figure out which bloggers are the most influential in your area. There are a variety of ways to do this &#8212; start by Googling for certain keywords associated with your website and see which blogs come up. Add these blogs to your <a href="http://www.google.com/reader">Google Reader</a> (or other RSS aggregator) and start reading them every day. Pay attention to other sites mentioned in articles, and check out their blogrolls. </p>
<p>Once you&#8217;ve identified some of the important blogs, contact the author and introduce yourself. Tell them a bit about your site and ask them if they&#8217;d be willing to help spread the word. Many blogs are happy to help out, especially if they have the first chance to &#8220;go public&#8221; with a cool concept. Be sure that you don&#8217;t look overly spammy &#8212; send polite, personalized messages to each author. I often try to respond to an article the blogger has written to break the ice and let them know that I am a reader and that I find their content valuable.</p>
<h3>Engage in Discussions on Other Websites</h3>
<p>On some sites, the user community is already large and established. If your product is a great complement to such a site, one great way to promote yourself is to become an active and respected user in the well-known community. </p>
<p>For example, if you have a restaurant reservation service, users on a site like <a href="http://www.yelp.com">Yelp</a> might be interested in your offerings. One great way to promote your site is to become a very active and trusted member on the &#8220;mother site&#8221;, and rely upon the fact that your credibility will make people naturally interested in learning more about you and your service. To build this following, you need to contribute content to the existing community that others find worthwhile and valuable, and do so in a way that&#8217;s not overly promotional in nature. For Yelp, you might consider posting several restaurant reviews with thoughtful feedback and commentary. You don&#8217;t necessarily want to post a link to your site in every review, but definitely have a link in your profile so that when people click on your name to learn more, they see that link and click on it.</p>
<p>You might get fewer impressions by promoting this way (since users will have to see your profile before they see your links), but you&#8217;ll get more conversions too, since those who visit your site are people who have already decided that they find you interesting and worthwhile enough to click on your profile. By leveraging your credibility in one arena, you are able to apply it to another to increase the impact you have for each visit.</p>
<h3>Overview</h3>
<p>Creating online buzz about your product takes time and effort. Simply dumping links all over the internet with very little content around them will simply make you a spammer, and there are mechanisms online that will ensure that your links are quickly relegated to the spam heap. On the other hand, if your product is one that people find valuable, and you promote it with thoughtful contributions to a variety of places online, you will eventually meet success and attract visitors.</p>
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		<title>The Power of Ignorance, or, What an 8 Year Old Can Teach You About Risk</title>
		<link>http://blog.ajlisy.com/2009/03/the-power-of-ignorance-or-what-an-8-year-old-can-teach-you-about-risk/</link>
		<comments>http://blog.ajlisy.com/2009/03/the-power-of-ignorance-or-what-an-8-year-old-can-teach-you-about-risk/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 03 Mar 2009 20:06:42 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>aj</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[entrepreneurial]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[internet media]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[projects]]></category>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blog.ajlisy.com/?p=216</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Cross posted on The Free Agents, a network for people between jobs.
When I was 8, I got a 14.4 modem and an AOL dialup subscription for my birthday. It was one of the best presents I&#8217;ve ever received, and I quickly started exploring all that AOL had to offer. Soon, I started to wonder how [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><em>Cross posted on <a href="http://www.freeagentnet.com">The Free Agents</a>, a network for people between jobs.</em></p>
<p>When I was 8, I got a 14.4 modem and an AOL dialup subscription for my birthday. It was one of the best presents I&#8217;ve ever received, and I quickly started exploring all that AOL had to offer. Soon, I started to wonder how web pages actually got <em>on</em> the internet, so I found AOL Personal Publisher and started messing around.</p>
<p>In most cases, 8 year olds don&#8217;t have too much to contribute to the world, and I was no exception. I just wanted to create a web page for <em>something</em>, so I settled on one thing that was well known to me and friends &#8212; video games. I created <strong>AJ&#8217;s Code Page</strong> (specializing in infinite lives, double damage, god mode, and the like) hosted on the now-defunct members.aol.com, and started trying to figure out how to get users.<br />
<span id="more-216"></span><br />
It was near the beginning of the web (1993), and nobody really knew what was going on, so it was an amazing learning experience. I had never heard of Photoshop at that point, much less have any experience with it, so I found some graphic designer on a forum that made a [pretty cool] banner logo featuring a Playstation logo on the left, the words &#8220;AJ&#8217;s Code Page&#8221; in the middle, and the Nintendo 64 logo on the right. I scoured the web for links to the best code pages, and found, among others, <strong>hyper@ctive</strong> (also defunct), which had a seemingly endless supply of codes for nearly any game. </p>
<div id="attachment_229" class="wp-caption alignleft" style="width: 310px"><img src="http://blog.ajlisy.com/wp-content/uploads/2009/03/ajs_code_page-300x60.gif" alt="The AJ&#039;s Code Page Banner" title="ajs_code_page" width="300" height="60" class="size-medium wp-image-229" /><p class="wp-caption-text">The AJ's Code Page Banner</p></div>
<p>I kept trying new ways to get traffic, and signed up for some banner exchange programs which were an early form of banner advertising where people in a network would agree to show your banner (rotated among others in the network) in exchange for you showing their banner on your site. The goal was more to get traffic than to actually make any money, although I&#8217;m sure that some people figured out ways to profit from it. To a third grader, money isn&#8217;t the first thought when you&#8217;re just trying to get people to look at a site you&#8217;ve thrown up on the net. </p>
<p>I plugged along, and for months the counter at the bottom of my page registered barely any page views. I continually submitted my page to every search engine I could find, yet nothing really boosted my audience. I wasn&#8217;t discouraged &#8212; after all, my goal was first to see if I could make a cool page, and second to actually get visitors to that page. However, all of the sudden, one week something just &#8220;clicked&#8221;, and the counter had over 2000 hits! The next day, another 500!  A few weeks later, I was at 8000 hits, and I felt like I was on top of the video game code world!</p>
<p>Who cares? I had all but forgotten about &#8220;AJ&#8217;s Code Page&#8221; and the beginnings of my foray into creating a web community until several weeks ago. I was laid off from my job in Wall Street, and I wanted to set up a web site for people that were in the same position and just wanted a place to go and chat, and network informally with others. Not a job site, but a place where you could feel comfortable asking where to find a cheap drink or talking about interesting places you&#8217;ve traveled during your time between jobs. I took a quick look around the net, and soon <a href="http://www.freeagentnet.com">The Free Agents</a> was born.</p>
<p>It turns out that the biggest obstacle you have to overcome when beginning an undertaking like this is the self doubt that inevitable springs into your mind. Could I get any users? Would anyone care about the site? Why would someone visit my site when they could just as easily spend their time on Facebook? </p>
<p>The doubt almost doomed my project before I had put a single page up. But strangely, what motivated me was not anything I learned in college, or any encouragement from others. The final push that I needed was simply thinking back and remember that, 15 years ago, I set up a web page that people <em>actually visited</em>. If I could do it then, why not give it another shot now? </p>
<p>The whole idea here, and the title of this post, is <em>the power of ignorance.</em> Eight year olds don&#8217;t generally know that something is hard, or that they are almost definitely going to fail. They just go for it &#8212; if for no other reason, because they are <em>ignorant</em> of the possibility, or likelihood, of failure. Is <strong>AJ&#8217;s Code Page</strong> still around today? Nope. But that endeavor was enough to motivate me on another project, and convince me that failure isn&#8217;t a bad outcome. Will <a href="http://www.freeagentnet.com">The Free Agents</a> be a roaring success? I hope so, but probabilistically, no. However, I know that if it fails, one day I might look back and say, &#8220;I created this social network &#8212; its gone now, but it succeeded in convincing me that <em>[whatever]</em> is possible&#8221;. And that knowledge may very well eventually lead to something that <em>is</em> a roaring success.</p>
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		<title>7 Ways the Recession Will Ultimately Improve America</title>
		<link>http://blog.ajlisy.com/2009/02/7-ways-the-recession-will-ultimately-improve-america/</link>
		<comments>http://blog.ajlisy.com/2009/02/7-ways-the-recession-will-ultimately-improve-america/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 18 Feb 2009 05:19:07 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>aj</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[entrepreneurial]]></category>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blog.ajlisy.com/?p=183</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[These things gotta happen every five years or so, ten years. Helps to get rid of the bad blood.   &#8211;Clemenza, The Godfather
The recession is undoubtedly a very difficult time for America and the rest of the world. However, during this rough period, its important to realize that things will get better. Here are [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><em>These things gotta happen every five years or so, ten years. Helps to get rid of the bad blood. </em>  &#8211;Clemenza, <em>The Godfather</em></p>
<p>The recession is undoubtedly a very difficult time for America and the rest of the world. However, during this rough period, its important to realize that things <strong>will</strong> get better. Here are 7 areas and ideas that will emerge stronger when the economic crisis subsides:<br />
<span id="more-183"></span></p>
<ol>
<li>
		<strong>Risk will be decentralized and distributed among more, smaller entities.</strong> If you were a shareholder of a major investment bank or brokerage, you made phenomenal profits from the late 1990s to around 2007 because all of the &#8220;big 5&#8243; &#8211; Bear Stearns, Goldman Sachs, Lehman Brothers, Merrill Lynch and Morgan Stanley took sizeable proprietary risk on their own books and won as the market was rising and &#8220;normal&#8221;. However, in the last 18 months, all of those profits and much more have been wiped out because of these same proprietary positions. The problem all along was that few of the proprietary trades were actually generating alpha &#8212; that is, excess returns when the investments were adjusted for risk. Instead, they were largely just bets that were 99.9% likely to win, but had a 0.1% (or less) chance of wiping out far more than what they had risked. In the last 2 years, that tiny chance happened, and it took down all the risk takers and decimated models that hadn&#8217;t taken into account &#8220;tail events&#8221;. </p>
<p>		One of the biggest issues was the fact that these 5 brokerages, and others, had grown into financial supermarkets. They traded every product in existence, and the risk between the products was poorly analyzed and managed. Shareholders who bought Merrill Lynch because they thought the private client retail brokerage business was good ended up seeing their money lost to the black hole of CDO writedowns. While there is a definite element of <em>caveat emptor</em> to anyone buying a public company, it is becoming increasingly apparent that <em>nobody</em> fully understands the complex interactions between complex products held by a huge bank. Going forward, investors will be far more careful to separate the risks that they&#8217;d like to take. If they want to own a financial trading company because they think there are good returns to be made in facilitating the crossing of trades between hedge funds, they will buy a company that takes very little risk of their own and instead makes money by acting as a broker for low-risk crossing of securities. If they want exposure to a certain market segment or manager, they will invest in ETFs, mutual funds or hedge funds with more structure and oversight to risk taking than the large banks are likely to have. By allocating funds among smaller, more focused entities, investors will be better able to manage and understand the risks in their own portfolios.</li>
<li>
		<strong>The financial system will be forced to get rid of large, &#8220;too big to fail&#8221; behemoths.</strong> The other critical concern to the &#8220;financial supermarket&#8221; model is the impact of the failure of one of these massive firms across the financial system. With leverage, we have seen that one bad area of a company can take down the entire firm. Before derivative contracts were widely used to link risks across the economic system, failure of a firm simply meant that customers needed to find a new brokerage. However, now that hundreds of trillions (conservative estimates put the derivative market notional outstanding at over <a href="http://query.nytimes.com/gst/fullpage.html?res=9907E3DC1E31F930A1575AC0A9609C8B63">$280 trillion</a>) of outstanding derivatives contracts link banks together, theoretically a few bad bets by one desk of one bank can then take down that entire bank, which can then fail on derivatives contracts to other banks. The system is far too intertwined in its current incarnation, and needs to be revised. </p>
<p>		The revision will come in part from nationalization and in part from &#8220;hiring away&#8221; the best members of desks at big trading firms that are subject to the TARP. Since a smaller shop can set up a trading division and not have to worry about restricting incentive compensation, there is huge opportunity for a profitable trading desk to simply leave the large banks and begin trading at smaller places. Before, boutique firms were restrictive because they didn&#8217;t have enough capital needed for flow traders to work most effectively; but with capital restrictions affecting desks at even the biggest firms, this is becoming less of an issue. There is definitely still very good money to be made in financial services, so many businesses will remain attractive. The difference will be how they are structured and focused, and that will be the distinguishing factor between the firms of the 2000s and the firms going forward.</li>
<li>
		<strong> The reduced allure of Wall Street will encourage the smartest students to start companies or develop new technologies.</strong> While I don&#8217;t think all the money is gone from finance, I think at least the easy money will vanish for a while. The money remaining for the time being is in hedge funds, and they predominantly hire established traders. For the next few years, it will be difficult to get a great job at either a bank or a fund, so the temptation for engineering students to go into finance will be lessened. Whether this translates into more students opting for engineering careers or simply shifting to another field remains to be seen, but more engineering candidates means more innovation for the country. <em>For more on this, see my earlier post titled <a href="http://blog.ajlisy.com/2009/02/trade-idea-sell-wall-street-buy-science">Trade Idea: Sell Wall Street, Buy Science</a></em></li>
<li>
		<strong>Companies that used to be able to survive in a good economy by clinging to old business models will be forced to modernize or perish, and new companies will have a chance to replace the old ones. </strong>Traditional newspapers are a prime example. The business model of &#8220;deliver newpapers to homes and newstands and make money on advertising and subscriptions&#8221; has been showing signs of weakness for over 10 years &#8212; since the widespread adoption of the internet. Young people have never grown accustomed to reading their news from a newspaper, and now overwhelmingly <a href="http://www.usatoday.com/life/columnist/mediamix/2006-03-22-media-mix_x.htm">get their news almost entirely from the internet</a>.  Since the distribution model no longer works, does this mean that traditional news sources like the <a href="http://www.nytimes.com">New York Times</a> cannot make money and should simply shut their doors? Clearly there is still tremendous value in traditional reporting and the news it produces. However, blogs are stepping in as alternative, often first-hand news accounts that can complement, and in some cases, replace other news outlets. For an example of this, look no further than <a href="http://www.drudgereport.com">The Drudge Report</a>, which got its popularity as the first site to break the Monica Lewinsky story years ago. Since then, blogs and other alternative news sources have only gotten more important.</p>
<p>		Without a doubt, some newspapers will go out of business because they are unable to transition their business model to effectively make money on the internet. Other papers, on the other hand, will successfully make the transition and become even more successful because of it. The internet is an amazing thing, and if you&#8217;re the best news source on the web, you can make far more money than if you&#8217;re the best source in New York City. The increased competition and a greatly leveled playing field will cause the best businesses to naturally rise to the top while the worse performers are filtered out.</li>
<li>
		<strong>Internet ad-based revenue models will begin to give way, leading to new models based on hard revenue. </strong> Since the beginning of the internet, much of it has been free, supported by only ads, because there was no effective way of collecting tiny payments from visitors in return for content. The processing costs to charge someone, say, $0.01 or even $0.001 for reading an article on a blog was prohibitively expensive, so advertisements became the only source of revenue that a site could rely on. As advertisers reduce the rates they are willing to pay for &#8220;clickthroughs&#8221;, the advertising model begins to deteriorate, and content providers must begin to seriously look at alternatives. </p>
<p>		On the surface, the end of the completely &#8220;free&#8221; internet seems like a bad thing, since we have come to expect everything online to be free. However, done effectively, micropayments have the potential to be a game-changing development. Imagine if you could, at the beginning of each month, buy $10 worth of micropayment &#8220;credits&#8221; that you could use to pay for sites in increments from $0.001 to $0.20. Popular sites could charge a penny or less, and make plenty of money to hire the best staff and provide the best material. Using the newspaper example from above, a premier news provider like the New York Times could charge a tiny amount per user and still make enough money to be a viable company. Sites that were able to thrive on advertising alone could remain free, of course, but the ability to charge small token amounts for content would likely create entirely new and interesting sites and business models that are currently unavailable for the price of free.</li>
<li>
		<strong>Companies will look deeper into their operations for ways to reduce costs, which will give an opportunity for new technology products and players to break into the corporate landscape.</strong> During the last few months at my previous employer, the company made a concerted effort to identify and cut wasteful spending in areas that were overlooked during earlier bull market times. As we move deeper into a tough economy, more and more companies will scrutinize their existing operations for areas where they can save money and optimize procedures. This process will create an opening for new players in the corporate game that can enter with the promise of lowering costs and simplifying maintenance. </p>
<p>		When times are good, companies are more willing to stick with their current setups that may be old, outdated and expensive, simply because they lack the impetus to really delve deep and cut costs. One very extreme example of this is Microsoft Office. Nearly every corporate employee has Word, Powerpoint, Excel and Outlook on their desktop. However, for almost all of them, these programs are overkill &#8212; for their basic word processing or presentation needs, there are several software packages costing little or nothing that could easily suffice for all but the most advanced users. Take, for instance, <a href="http://www.openoffice.org">OpenOffice</a> or <a href="http://docs.google.com">Google Docs</a> &#8212; both allow you to create Word-format documents and easily share them among co-workers. In a pinch, a company could switch to one of these alternatives and save hundreds per user per year in licensing fees. Perhaps an exaggerated example, since Microsoft Office is ubiquitious on the enterprise scene, but I am confident that any office has dozens of examples of software and other licensed services where they could find alternatives that retain 95% of the capabilities for 20% or less of the price. Companies don&#8217;t look for these types of opportunities in good markets, since the profits of the business far overshadow the expensive support costs, but in times where every dollar counts, this is a great area for new businesses to step in and gain a foothold in the corporate market.</li>
<li>
		<strong>With less &#8220;free money&#8221; going around, people will have to genuinely innovate if they want to &#8220;get rich&#8221;. </strong> People can be roughly categorized into two camps &#8212; those who create value and those who maintain value. Those who create value &#8212; like Bill Gates, Steve Jobs and Warren Buffett &#8212; ultimately provide the jobs and incomes from the next tier who maintain that value. Bill Gates started Microsoft and made billions of dollars doing it &#8212; but the billions that he took home was only a small fraction of the value that he created, since thousands or hundreds of thousands of other people made money either directly or indirectly as a result of Microsoft. When the economy is great, those that maintain value can make a very good living for themselves as a result of being onboard a profitable company or having a position in a lucrative niche. In a poor economy, however, the ability to make outsized personal wealth by being a maintainer of value is less certain. Poor economies force people to be more creative if they wish to carve out wealth of their own. </p>
<p>		The creators of value undoubtedly have a more difficult time in a recession as well, but they are more in control of their situation and can more easily adapt than those that have &#8220;safe&#8221; jobs maintaining value that has already been created. Furthermore, since a steady paycheck is less certain than ever, the opportunity cost of leaving a job and starting up a business is much lower than its been in the last 5-10 years. Therefore, the ambitious people that want to &#8220;strike it rich&#8221; will be more likely to take risks at creating value, since the path of maintaining value is now less certain and more difficult than ever. Funding and startup capital remains a difficulty, but even that is not insurmountable, and the rewards in the end have the potential to be great. By starting something in a time where estabilished companies are being challenged, a lean newcomer has a rare opportunity to truly shake things up.</li>
</ol>
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